Sunday, 2 August 2015

NBA 2017 MVP race – part 2

(Originally posted on Thursday, 17 November 2016)

All the data I used I found on this site:

On 16 November 2016 both the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Los Angeles Clippers recorded their second loss of the season and now there are no teams with less the 2 losses.

With the assumptions described in this post: ,
according to the data from the games up to 16 November 2016 the current NBA 2017 MVP race list is this:

1. Kevin Durant: 2452.49      (projected team wins: 67)
2. Chris Paul: 2281.36      (projected team wins: 68)
3. LeBron James: 2276.01      (projected team wins: 67)
4. Russell Westbrook: 2174.97      (projected team wins: 48)
5. Blake Griffin: 2169.37      (projected team wins: 68)
6. Stephen Curry: 2125.51      (projected team wins: 67)
7. Kevin Love: 2016.46      (projected team wins: 67)
8. Kawhi Leonard: 2004.37      (projected team wins: 62)
9. Draymond Green: 1986.00      (projected team wins: 67)
10. James Harden: 1946.08      (projected team wins: 45)

To be honest I was really surprised that Kevin Durant is ahead of LeBron James by such a large margin, but then I remembered that LeBron James did not play in one game. It means that his projected total statistics are much lower than the numbers projected for Kevin Durant who played in every game. Chris Paul is also ahead of LeBron James, mostly thanks to low number of turnovers and high number of steals. As I predicted Russell Westbrook fell from the top of the list just because his team's record worsened significantly.

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