Sunday, 2 August 2015

NBA 2017 MVP race – part 15

(Originally posted on Tuesday, 11 April 2017)

All the data I used I found on this site:

On 10 April 2017 the Golden State Warriors recorded their 15th loss of the season and now there are no teams with less the 15 losses.

With the assumptions described in this post: ,
according to the data from the games up to 10 April 2017 the current NBA 2017 MVP race list is this:

1. James Harden:    2376.31    (projected team wins: 55)
2. Russell Westbrook:    2226.17    (projected team wins: 47)
3. Stephen Curry:    2064.84    (projected team wins: 67)
4. Kawhi Leonard:    1838.59    (projected team wins: 62)
5. LeBron James:    1808.04    (projected team wins: 52)
6. Kevin Durant:    1797.31    (projected team wins: 67)
7. John Wall:    1722.35    (projected team wins: 50)
8. Isaiah Thomas:    1637.71    (projected team wins: 53)
9. Giannis Antetokounmpo:    1530.21    (projected team wins: 43)
10. DeMar DeRozan:    1506.23    (projected team wins: 51)

There were so many interesting things happening that I was anxious to make another part of my predictions earlier, but the Golden State Warriors had won 14 games in a row! Now the race is all over.

Russell Westbrook is having a monster finish of the season, but the Oklahoma City Thunder are locked at the 10th place in the league (6th place in the Western Conference) and it drags his MVP value too much down. James Harden was unlucky to suffer an injury, but the Houston Rockets are already locked at the 3rd place in the league (3rd place in the Western Conference). When we take into consideration that the last games are totally meaningless for the teams the winner of the race is already clear: James Harden.

Accumulating as much triple doubles as possible is cool and impressive, but on its own it doesn’t make Russell Westbrook the MVP. Team results are as important as personal results and James Harden has a clear advantage over Russell Westbrook in this regard.

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